There are three major uncertainties:
First, the key raw materials are imported, and there are security risks in the supply chain. Although from a global perspective, China's power battery industry has quite strong market competitiveness, it cannot be ignored that under the existing technical route, the raw materials such as lithium and cobalt contained in high-energy density ternary lithium batteries are heavily dependent on imports, and this is the reason why many leading companies are looking outwards in 2021. At the same time, the high dependence on imports of raw materials has also led to obstacles in the application of power battery production capacity.
Second, there is a question mark about when disruptive technologies will be realized. In recent years, concepts such as solid-state batteries, cobalt-free batteries, and sodium-ion batteries have emerged one after another. Although there are companies from time to time publicizing major breakthroughs in the field of disruptive battery technology, not many have actually been mass-produced and recognized by the market.
The third is the shortage of technical talents, due to the serious shortage of domestic talent supply, the competition for talents by related enterprises has entered a state of "hand-to-hand combat", but the cultivation of talents cannot be completed in a short period of time. The problem of talent shortage will become an important factor hindering the development of the industry.
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